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Let us play a unique card game

Let us play a unique card game

This deck has one hundred cards with all values between one to hundred. In this game, the seller draws two cards randomly and informs you the lowest card value out of two.
In the game, you are offered to buy the two cards at a fixed price of one hundred dollar.
You have decided to play, what is the lowest card value at which you will trigger buy?
Photo Adaptation/Flickr/stevendepolo
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Nilesh
Nilesh
If the value of lowest card is 49 or more then i will for buy. by doing this a i sm ensuring minimum return of 100 which is the cost of playing the game...

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The mistakes we make in our everyday life

• We are hardwired to make these mistakes • Few biases are simply evolutionary • These errors affect all of us including the bright ones • Experience is just not enough to overcome • but expertise is required to recognize and overcome

Few of biases as below · Anchoring - When an individual depends too heavily on an initial piece of information during decision making · Fixed pie - When we assume that our interests conflict with the other party's interests and we play adversarial · Framing - When we decide on our options differently when the options are presented with positive or negative connotations · Vividness – When we pay attention to strong features at the expense of less, that could be more impactful · Over confidence – When our subjective confidence is greater than the objective accuracy · Escalation – When initial decision is followed up with an irrational decision to justify the initial decision

Few ways to mitigate these biases are · Learn to recognize the bias · Use slow, effortful and logical thinking (System 2) · Avoid fast, automatic and effortless thinking (System 1) · Avoid negotiations which are thrust upon when not ready · Learn through use of stories, examples, exercises · Bring an outsider perspective