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How fast I need to drive now?

How fast I need to drive now?

Assume you need to cross a forest.The distance to cross is one kilometer and you plan to achieve one kilometer distance in one minute.
You start your vehicle and after a while you notice that you done the first half of distance (1km) at a speed of 30 Km per hour.
How fast will you need to drive the balance distance to achieve your goal?
Photo Adaptation / Pixabay / skeeze-272447/
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muthu
muthu
120 Kms per to cross the balance distance

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The mistakes we make in our everyday life

• We are hardwired to make these mistakes • Few biases are simply evolutionary • These errors affect all of us including the bright ones • Experience is just not enough to overcome • but expertise is required to recognize and overcome

Few of biases as below · Anchoring - When an individual depends too heavily on an initial piece of information during decision making · Fixed pie - When we assume that our interests conflict with the other party's interests and we play adversarial · Framing - When we decide on our options differently when the options are presented with positive or negative connotations · Vividness – When we pay attention to strong features at the expense of less, that could be more impactful · Over confidence – When our subjective confidence is greater than the objective accuracy · Escalation – When initial decision is followed up with an irrational decision to justify the initial decision

Few ways to mitigate these biases are · Learn to recognize the bias · Use slow, effortful and logical thinking (System 2) · Avoid fast, automatic and effortless thinking (System 1) · Avoid negotiations which are thrust upon when not ready · Learn through use of stories, examples, exercises · Bring an outsider perspective