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The sharp shooter

The sharp shooter

In a three person sequential gun battle the bad shooter (B) can hit about one third of targets correctly. The second person (M) is somewhat better with a 50% hit rate. The third shooter(D) is really dangerous, who can hit 100% correctly.
First to shoot will be with lower hit rate i.e. the shooting order will be B, M and D. The battle will continue till there is only one survivor.
The bad shooter (B) hires you as his advisor. What should he do to maximize his chance of survival?
Photo Adaptation / Flickr / szuppo
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The mistakes we make in our everyday life

We human beings engage in thinking and decision making in our daily life. It is our ability to solve problems and choose the best course of action, which leads to better outcomes. But we also make systematic errors when we think and at times we don’t even realize. We fail to think clearly because of our emotions such as anger or fear and this leads to wrong decision making as well as avoidable harm.

These systematic errors are known as biases. We can learn, understand to notice these biases within us and around us. Once we know, then we can also take action to avoid these biases, prejudices and beliefs and act to avoid the harm. Biases are systematic and predictable errors we make.